Outcome, duration and value for a case or a book, read from court records and private settlement data.Outcome, duration and value, from the record
The science · Reproducibility

Same file, same number.

A price, a reserve or a funding decision rests on one figure. If you ask the same question about the same case again and the figure changes, you are deciding on whichever answer you happened to get. Criterica estimates are deterministic and versioned: the same record and the same model version return the same band, every time.

RUNVERSION PINNED112Identical band on every run
Figure 1The Criterica estimate. The same file re-run against a pinned model version returns the identical band. It changes only when the record changes, and the earlier estimate stays on file.Illustrative
STATED SETTLEMENT VALUE, ONE DOT PER RUN$300K$400K$500K$600K5 different answers, $350K to $550K
Figure 2A general-purpose model. 12 runs of one fictional case, asked of a sampled model for a single settlement figure. Median $400K; the highest answer is 1.57 times the lowest.Illustrative

What this number means

The comparison shows one thing: whether the same input returns the same output. The case summary is fictional, with no real party, matter or client information. A Criterica estimate is validated separately, on later outcomes the model never saw, before it is used.

Run your own matters through the same record

Send a case list or a book. Each matter comes back with its band, its version and the record behind it.

Next step

See what your book is worth before you commit capital.

Describe the book. After qualification you receive a written report, a per-matter schedule and a review session.

Request an assessment

Related reading

Need funding for a case, a firm or a book? Criterica Capital