Structuredpredictionasinfrastructure.
Criterica Intelligence is the data science and model infrastructure division of Criterica Group. We build the prediction and decision systems that underwrite complex litigation, price legal risk, and power capital deployment at institutional scale. 23,508 production models. 106M+ real court records. Outcome certainty is the product.
Criterica Intelligence was established to solve a structural gap in legal risk markets: outcome data existed across millions of court records, but no infrastructure existed to translate it into calibrated, decision-ready intelligence. Founded on the thesis that legal outcomes follow predictable patterns when analyzed at institutional scale, the platform was built to serve every participant in the legal risk ecosystem — capital allocators, law firms, and insurance carriers — with the same underlying intelligence, structured for each decision context. Today, 23,508 production models trained on 106M+ real court records power underwriting decisions across litigation finance, legal intake, and insurance exposure management.
Precision is not a feature. It is the foundation. Every model we build, every dataset we ingest, every prediction we deliver is held to the standard of institutional-grade certainty. We do not approximate. We calibrate.
We acquire, structure, and model outcomes data from regulated industries. Our infrastructure is built on real judicial records, financial filings, and regulatory enforcement data. Not synthetic. Not approximated. The moat is the data. The edge is the calibration.
The point where the rate of change is steepest.
A sigmoid — the natural shape of outcome probability as evidence accumulates. It starts uncertain, accelerates through a critical zone, then resolves.
A tangent at the inflection. It represents the derivative: not the probability itself, but the rate at which certainty is emerging. That is the actionable signal.
The exact point of contact between curve and tangent. Where rate of change is maximum. Where the system has found the answer. The ring says: we found the exact point.
Nothing else in this space locates that point. That is the product.
Built Criterica Intelligence from the ground up — data infrastructure, model architecture, and the outcomes prediction platform powering Criterica Group. Previously founded Splitifi, the legal data science platform underpinning the Criterica Intelligence fleet.
Twenty years of investment experience across distressed credit, high yield, and alternative finance. Former CIO of Corrib Capital Management, Managing Director at RBS Greenwich Capital Markets, and four years at J.P. Morgan Chase.
Oversees legal, compliance, and governance. Previously at Dorsey & Whitney LLP, specializing in investment entity structuring. J.D. cum laude, Northwestern University School of Law. Best Lawyers: Ones to Watch 2022.